Italy vs Belgium prediction, UEFA Nations League
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
62.8%
xG
1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →
ItalyWDWLW
BelgiumLWLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedItaly favoured at 37%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.50 goals for Italy and 1.48 for Belgium, giving 37% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.50 - 1.48
- Clean sheet chance: Italy 23%, Belgium 22%
Match result
1X2Italy37.2%
Draw26.4%
Belgium36.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Italy
Above average
5.6
Belgium
Above average
ItalyLast 10 gamesBelgium2.00Points per game1.70
1.6Goals scored per game2.0
1.0Goals conceded per game1.2
30%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Italy
1
Draws
3
Belgium
- 25 Sept 26Italy 0-2 Belgium
- 14 Nov 24Belgium 0-1 Italy
- 10 Oct 24Italy 2-2 Belgium
- 10 Oct 21Italy 2-1 Belgium
- 2 Jul 21Belgium 1-2 Italy