Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
The model makes Spain the most likely winner at 40%, with France at 32% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals are 1.40 for Spain and 1.23 for France, so the margin is narrow. Both teams to score sits at 54%, close to even.
Spain
Above average
France
Above average
7
Spain
1
Draws
2
France