Porto vs Arouca prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 7Full time
Porto
4-0
Arouca
Model's readEstádio do Dragão
1 66%X 20%2 14%
Our pick
Home Win
66.3%
xG
2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →PortoWWWLWAroucaDLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedPorto favoured at 66%, in a middling game
The model projects 2.02 goals for Porto and 0.79 for Arouca, giving 66% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
- Expected goals: 2.02 - 0.79
- Clean sheet chance: Porto 45%, Arouca 13%
Match result
1X2Porto66.3%
Draw19.8%
Arouca13.9%
Model rating
All ratings →9.4
Porto
Elite
5.7
Arouca
Above average
PortoLast 10 gamesArouca2.70Points per game1.80
2.1Goals scored per game1.8
0.6Goals conceded per game1.1
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings8
Porto
1
Draws
1
Arouca
- 23 Aug 26Porto 2-0 Arouca
- 27 Feb 26Porto 3-1 Arouca
- 29 Sept 25Arouca 0-4 Porto
- 1 Mar 25Arouca 0-2 Porto
- 29 Sept 24Porto 4-0 Arouca