Spain vs England prediction, UEFA European Championship
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
76.1%
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →
SpainWWWWW
EnglandWWWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedSpain favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.43 goals for Spain and 1.27 for England, giving 40% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.43 - 1.27
- Clean sheet chance: Spain 28%, England 24%
Match result
1X2Spain39.7%
Draw28.0%
England32.3%
Model rating
All ratings →6.8
Spain
Above average
6.9
England
Above average
SpainLast 10 gamesEngland3.00Points per game2.40
2.2Goals scored per game3.0
0.6Goals conceded per game1.3
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Spain
1
Draws
2
England
- 26 Sept 26England 2-3 Spain
- 14 Jul 24Spain 2-1 England
- 15 Oct 18Spain 2-3 England
- 8 Sept 18England 1-2 Spain
- 15 Nov 16England 2-2 Spain