Toluca vs Juárez prediction, Mexican Liga MX
Our pick Strong
Home Win
75.9%
xG
2.7 – 0.9
Over 2.5
69%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →TolucaLDLWW
JuárezLWLLL
Match analysis
EnhancedToluca favoured at 76% to win at home
The model favours Toluca at home, with a 76% chance of a win, well above the 47% norm for this competition. It projects 2.71 goals for Toluca and 0.86 for Juárez, with Toluca's attack meeting Juárez's weakest defence. These are model estimates, not guarantees.
Match result
1X2Toluca75.9%
Draw15.2%
Juárez8.8%
Model rating
All ratings →8.2
Toluca
Strong
4.1
Juárez
Average
TolucaLast 10 gamesJuárez
1.70Points per game0.30
2.3Goals scored per game0.7
1.5Goals conceded per game2.5
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Mexican Liga MX
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Guadalajara | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | León | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Querétaro | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Pumas UNAM | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Atlético de San Luis | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Juárez | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.