Tigres UANL vs Toluca prediction, Mexican Liga MX
Mexican Liga MX · Round 11Full time
Tigres UANL
3-2
Toluca
Model's readEstadio Universitario UANL
1 36%X 28%2 36%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
63.9%
xG
1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →Tigres UANLWWLDD
TolucaLDLWW
Match analysis
EnhancedAway or Draw (X2) is the model's top pick at 64%
The model's strongest read is Away or Draw (X2) at 64%, against a 53% norm for this competition. That gap over the norm is what makes it the standout, not the raw figure. Both sides project 1.34 goals, so the match looks tight on the numbers.
Match result
1X2Tigres UANL36.1%
Draw27.7%
Toluca36.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Tigres UANL
Above average
8.2
Toluca
Strong
Tigres UANLLast 10 gamesToluca
1.30Points per game1.70
1.2Goals scored per game2.3
1.2Goals conceded per game1.5
40%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored70%
40%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Mexican Liga MX
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Guadalajara | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | León | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Querétaro | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Pumas UNAM | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Atlético de San Luis | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Juárez | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Tigres UANL
3
Draws
4
Toluca
- 18 Jan 26Tigres UANL 0-0 Toluca
- 15 Dec 25Toluca 2-1 Tigres UANL
- 12 Dec 25Tigres UANL 1-0 Toluca
- 27 Jul 25Toluca 3-4 Tigres UANL
- 18 May 25Toluca 3-0 Tigres UANL