Cruz Azul vs Toluca prediction, Mexican Liga MX
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
74.5%
xG
1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →Cruz AzulDLWWW
TolucaLDLWW
Match analysis
EnhancedCruz Azul narrowly favoured at home, 41% to win
The model leans Cruz Azul at 41%, against 34% for Toluca and 25% for a draw, so the edge is narrow. It also expects goals: 3.06 in total, with over 2.5 at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
Match result
1X2Cruz Azul40.7%
Draw25.5%
Toluca33.8%
Model rating
All ratings →8.9
Cruz Azul
Elite
8.2
Toluca
Strong
Cruz AzulLast 10 gamesToluca
1.60Points per game1.70
1.9Goals scored per game2.3
1.8Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals80%
70%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Mexican Liga MX
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | CD GuadalajaraHT 0-0 | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | León | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5▲ | AtlasHT 0-0 | 11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6▼ | Querétaro | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Pumas UNAM | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Atlético de San Luis | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Juárez | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Cruz Azul
4
Draws
3
Toluca
- 26 Sept 26Cruz Azul 3-3 Toluca
- 7 Feb 26Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul
- 24 Aug 25Cruz Azul 1-0 Toluca
- 20 Apr 25Toluca 2-2 Cruz Azul
- 21 Jul 24Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca