Toluca vs Santos Laguna prediction, Mexican Liga MX
Mexican Liga MX · Round 9Full time
Toluca
2-3
Santos Laguna
Model's readEstadio Nemesio Díez
1 73%X 17%2 10%
Our pick Strong
Home Win
72.8%
xG
2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →TolucaLDLWW
Santos LagunaWWWLD
Match analysis
EnhancedToluca favoured at 73% for the home win
The model makes Toluca strong favourites at 73%, against a 47% norm for home wins in this competition. Toluca's attack rates best in the sample and meets a Santos Laguna defence ranked fourth weakest. Treat this as a probability, not a guaranteed result.
Match result
1X2Toluca72.8%
Draw17.3%
Santos Laguna9.9%
Model rating
All ratings →8.2
Toluca
Strong
4.5
Santos Laguna
Average
TolucaLast 10 gamesSantos Laguna
1.70Points per game1.00
2.3Goals scored per game1.0
1.5Goals conceded per game1.5
80%Over 2.5 goals50%
70%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Mexican Liga MX
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 3▲ | Querétaro43′ 1-0 | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4▼ | CD Guadalajara | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 5▼ | León | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 6▲ | Tijuana43′ 1-0 | 10 | +2 | 17 |
| 7▼ | Atlas | 10 | -1 | 17 |
| 8▼ | Cruz Azul | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 9▼ | Puebla | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Pumas UNAM | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Atlético de San Luis | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante43′ 0-1 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Juárez43′ 0-1 | 11 | -19 | 3 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 2 games in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Toluca
0
Draws
3
Santos Laguna
- 21 Sept 26Toluca 2-3 Santos Laguna
- 15 Jan 26Toluca 3-1 Santos Laguna
- 17 Jul 25Santos Laguna 2-4 Toluca
- 7 Apr 25Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna
- 23 Sept 24Santos Laguna 2-0 Toluca