Toluca vs Atlas prediction, Mexican Liga MX
Our pick
Home Win
65.9%
xG
2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →TolucaLDLWW
AtlasWDLDL
Match analysis
EnhancedToluca favoured at 66% to win at home
The model makes Toluca favourites at 66%, well above the 47% norm for this competition. Toluca's attack, rated best, meets Atlas's defence, rated 8th weakest. Expected goals are 2.21 for Toluca and 0.93 for Atlas.
Match result
1X2Toluca65.9%
Draw20.2%
Atlas13.9%
Model rating
All ratings →8.2
Toluca
Strong
5.8
Atlas
Above average
TolucaLast 10 gamesAtlas
1.70Points per game1.70
2.3Goals scored per game1.6
1.5Goals conceded per game1.7
80%Over 2.5 goals50%
70%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Mexican Liga MX
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Guadalajara | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | León | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Querétaro | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Pumas UNAM | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Atlético de San Luis | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Juárez | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Toluca
4
Draws
1
Atlas
- 13 Sept 26Toluca 5-2 Atlas
- 15 Mar 26Toluca 1-1 Atlas
- 1 Nov 25Atlas 0-0 Toluca
- 13 Apr 25Atlas 2-3 Toluca
- 29 Sept 24Toluca 4-1 Atlas