Puebla vs Toluca prediction, Mexican Liga MX
Our pick
Away Win
55.3%
xG
1.0 – 1.8
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →PueblaDLDLW
TolucaLDLWW
Match analysis
EnhancedToluca favoured to win away at Puebla
The model gives Toluca a 55% chance of winning, well above the 29% norm for this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Toluca's defence (5th best) meets Puebla's weakest attack, and Toluca have won 6 of the last 10 meetings. Treat this as a probability, not a guaranteed result.
Match result
1X2Puebla20.0%
Draw24.7%
Toluca55.3%
Model rating
All ratings →4.8
Puebla
Average
8.2
Toluca
Strong
PueblaLast 10 gamesToluca
1.20Points per game1.70
1.1Goals scored per game2.3
1.3Goals conceded per game1.5
30%Over 2.5 goals80%
60%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Mexican Liga MX
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América48′ 1-1 | 10 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Guadalajara | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | León | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Querétaro | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 9▲ | Monterrey48′ 1-1 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10▼ | Tijuana | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Pumas UNAM | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Atlético de San Luis | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Juárez | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Puebla
3
Draws
6
Toluca
- 16 Sept 26Puebla 0-1 Toluca
- 31 Jan 26Puebla 0-0 Toluca
- 14 Sept 25Toluca 3-1 Puebla
- 15 Mar 25Puebla 0-3 Toluca
- 23 Oct 24Toluca 5-0 Puebla