Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
55%
The model projects 1.99 goals for France and 0.97 for Turkey, giving 60% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
France
Above average
Turkey
Average
4
France
1
Draws
1
Turkey