Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
56%
The model projects 1.36 goals for Portugal and 1.35 for Spain, giving 36% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Portugal
Above average
Spain
Above average
1
Portugal
6
Draws
3
Spain