Portugal vs Spain prediction, UEFA Nations League
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
65.1%
xG
1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →
PortugalWWWWL
SpainWWWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedSpain favoured at 37%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.32 goals for Portugal and 1.37 for Spain, giving 35% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 37% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.32 - 1.37
- Clean sheet chance: Portugal 25%, Spain 27%
Match result
1X2Portugal34.9%
Draw28.0%
Spain37.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.8
Portugal
Above average
6.8
Spain
Above average
PortugalLast 10 gamesSpain2.30Points per game3.00
1.9Goals scored per game2.2
0.8Goals conceded per game0.6
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Portugal
6
Draws
3
Spain
- 6 Jul 26Portugal 0-1 Spain
- 8 Jun 25Portugal 2-2 Spain
- 27 Sept 22Portugal 0-1 Spain
- 2 Jun 22Spain 1-1 Portugal
- 4 Jun 21Spain 0-0 Portugal