Portugal vs Spain prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
72.0%
xG
1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
PortugalWWWWL
SpainWWWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedSpain favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.07 goals for Portugal and 1.39 for Spain, giving 28% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 43% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.07 - 1.39
- Clean sheet chance: Portugal 25%, Spain 34%
Match result
1X2Portugal28.0%
Draw28.9%
Spain43.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.8
Portugal
Above average
6.8
Spain
Above average
PortugalLast 10 gamesSpain2.30Points per game3.00
1.9Goals scored per game2.2
0.8Goals conceded per game0.6
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Portugal
6
Draws
3
Spain
- 6 Jul 26Portugal 0-1 Spain
- 8 Jun 25Portugal 2-2 Spain
- 27 Sept 22Portugal 0-1 Spain
- 2 Jun 22Spain 1-1 Portugal
- 4 Jun 21Spain 0-0 Portugal